CFTC Rule 4.41(b)(1)(i) — Hypothetical performance disclosure
These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.
The ladder, in numbers
The posterior from the validation engine reports the probability of meeting your goal with a credible interval of 90%, never as a single number. Where that probability lands is what picks the rung:
- Below 55%, the strategy runs in paper.
- Between 55% and 70%, it starts at a micro allocation.
- Above 70%, and only if the stress test is survivable, it scales.
Both thresholds are calibrable parameters, not constants of nature, and no synthetic result reaches the top rung. Underneath every rung sits the same risk guardian:
- A drawdown of 2% in a day stops new positions.
- A drawdown of 4% in a week halves size.
- A drawdown of 8% in a month pauses everything for a manual review.
Why validation, and not a louder promise
Around 70% of day traders lose moneyPROXY — an indirect figure standing in for one we do not haveF16F17F18. That is the segment, measured by others, and Quant24 does not claim to reverse it. What the ladder does is narrower and checkable: it ties the amount at risk to the evidence that exists, and it moves only after you say so.
What this build is
Pre-launch. No broker connection, no capital and no exchange market data — and no validation engine either: it is built in a later phase, so the product produces no performance numbers at all today. The numbers on this page are product parameters we declare and market figures we cite, each one with its source. When results do exist they will be computed on synthetic data and labeled SYNTHETIC on the number itself.